Seer is the inverse of Scenarios. Instead of probability-scoring outside futures, you describe a future you believe is coming or a future you want, and Seer back-plans the decisions and signals that would have to align for that future to land.
When to use Seer vs Scenarios
Use Scenarios when you want to track the probability of a future you cannot control — recession, margin compression, a competitor move. Use Seer when you want to design backward from a future you intend to make happen — a market position you mean to occupy, an acquisition target, a five-year revenue shape.
Seer outputs are not probability scored. They are a chain of preconditions, signals to watch, and actions to take. The output is a strategic memo, not a dashboard.