Signals · the lattice
32,297signals
One vocabulary for everything that moves your business.
Rates, prices, jobs, trade, energy, credit, filings and what companies say on their earnings calls, read together and kept current. Every signal names its publisher and shows where today's reading stands against its own history.
Right now
The signals behind today's conversation.
Palanor reads the day's news and the series moving outside their usual range, then points to the numbers that measure them.
Earnings Beat Share · EPS (S&P 500, trailing 90d)
In the news: Corporate Earnings Season
World Bank Energy Price Index (Monthly)
In the news: Energy and Commodity Markets
Exploited Vulnerabilities Added (CISA KEV, Monthly)
In the news: Critical Software Vulnerabilities
Material Cyber Incidents Disclosed by U.S. Public Companies, 12 Months (SEC 8-K Item 1.05)
In the news: Cybersecurity Infrastructure Risks
Completed Acquisitions and Disposals Reported on 8-K (All SEC Filers)
In the news: Mergers and Acquisitions
Euro Area · Inflation, Average Consumer Prices, IMF Projection
In the news: Financial Markets Performance
Every reading in context
Ordinary month, or historic one?
Each signal page shows where today sits in its own record: the percentile, the highest or lowest reading since a named date, the change over a month and a year. Signed-in readers also get a Palanor Foresight™ forecast with its band, and the public record of how those forecasts have done.
- PercentileWhere today ranks against every reading on record, and against the last five years.
- Highest sinceThe last time the series was this high or this low, shown only when the streak is real.
- ChangeOver a month and a year, measured in days, never in readings.
- ForecastA dated projection with its uncertainty band, logged and later scored.
Custom Indices
Palanor's own reading of the world, with the method published.
Composite readings built from public signals, scored daily on a 0–100 scale. Every index publishes its components, weights and history, so anyone can check the work. 40 indices are live today; these moved most this week.
The Real Rate Index
45.3
Down 5.1 from a week ago
The price of patience. Real Fed funds rate percentile against full available history — high = capital is expensive, low = capital is cheap.
Methodology →
Capital Tightness
47.5
Up 3.7 from a week ago
How tight or loose the capital window is for the operator who needs to refinance, raise, or close a deal in the next twelve months.
Methodology →
Uncertainty Index
53.4
Up 3.3 from a week ago
Cross-asset uncertainty — how unsure markets are about the next 12 months.
Methodology →
Steward Confidence
50.8
Down 3.0 from a week ago
A meta-composite tuned to long-horizon operators — how confident the people who carry generational responsibility should reasonably feel about the next twelve months.
Methodology →
The AI Capex Race Index
78.4
Down 3.0 from a week ago
How committed are companies to the AI build-out. Composite of AI intensity in earnings calls + capex guidance direction + leader confidence.
Methodology →
The Palanor Index
57.1
Up 2.8 from a week ago
A weekly reading on how confidently the future is being priced. The gap between belief and uncertainty across forward-looking instruments.
Methodology →
Schemas
The frameworks leaders already use, scored against live data.
Marks's market cycle, Minsky's financial instability, the capital window and more, each broken into stages with the evidence for every stage. When the evidence is too thin to place a stage, Palanor says so instead of guessing; 6 frameworks are published as lenses for that reason.
Shiller CAPE Regime
Today
Extreme
100% confidence
Energy industry schema
Today
Investment Expansion
96% confidence
Regulatory Shock
Today
Elevated Scrutiny
94% confidence
Defense + national security schema
Today
Surge
89% confidence
AI Margin Compression
Today
Resolution
86% confidence
Financial Instability Hypothesis
Today
Speculative finance
77% confidence
Real estate industry schema
Today
Recovery
71% confidence
Capital window closure schema
Today
Open
60% confidence
Currents
The motions the world is arguing about, measured.
Reshoring, AI margin compression, the capital window. For each one Palanor weighs the evidence on both sides every day: how much of it supports the motion, and whether that support is growing or fading. When the evidence goes stale, the reading is withheld.
AI Margin Compression
The defining motion of 2025–2027 — where the cost of producing intelligence outruns its price.
37/100 support
Steady
The Capital Window
The 2025–2027 refinancing pressure — when the cheap money of the 2010s comes due against a tighter rate regime.
75/100 support
Accelerating
Reshoring
The post-2020 retreat of supply chains toward domestic and friend-shored geographies — a multi-decade unwind.
32/100 support
Fading
The AI Capex Race
The build-out is real. The question is what it earns.
57/100 support
Fading
The Margin Squeeze
They will defend the line until they cannot.
34/100 support
Steady
The AI Jobs Reset
Both sides of the ledger — destruction visible, creation diffuse, and the running net.
58/100 support
Accelerating
Consumer Trading Down
They are not telling you they are scared. They are telling you what they are buying instead.
50/100 support
Fading
US House Shortage
The homes the country needs to build, and the homes it cannot afford.
27/100 support
Accelerating
Charts
Every chart is live, sourced and downloadable.
Charts update when their data does. Download them as images, or pull the data straight into Excel or Google Sheets where the licence allows.
Provenance
Every number names where it came from.
247 publishers stand behind the public lattice: statistics agencies, central banks, regulators and research groups. Palanor only uses data whose terms allow it, and every signal page carries its licence and attribution.
- International Monetary Fund
- The World Bank
- U.S. Census Bureau
- OECD
- Ember
- UN Population Division
- U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
- Eurostat
- U.S. Energy Information Administration
- U.S. Geological Survey
- NASA (VIIRS Land SIPS; LAADS DAAC, Goddard Space Flight Center)
- U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis
Your own numbers
Put your house on the same lattice as the world.
Upload a recurring report and Palanor turns its figures into private signals for your organization, set beside the public ones and read by the same math. Your signals stay yours: they never reach the public lattice, an index or another customer.
Weighted to your strategy, scored daily, ready for the next board meeting.
32,000+ signals · 40 indices · 25 schemas · 13 Currents