Palanor: Quit Pressure
How seriously workers are looking at the door — search behavior version of the JOLTS quits rate, weekly instead of monthly.
What this index reads
The JOLTS quits rate is the canonical labor-confidence read but it lags by ~30 days. Quit Pressure composites three behavioral signals that lead JOLTS: "quit my job" (the act of looking up the resignation logistics), "remote jobs" (the credible-alternative search), and "severance" (the practical-prep search).
Reading the divergence
When this index is elevated and JOLTS is flat, the quits cycle is about to turn. When this index is depressed and JOLTS is high, the published rate is overstating worker confidence. Wren tracks the lag carefully.
Components & Weights
Every component, every weight. The 30-day spark shows how the underlying series has moved; the transform column shows how it converts to a comparable scale before weighting. Direction indicates whether rising values raise or lower the index.
| Component | Source | Weight | Direction | Transform | 30d | 24h | 30d Δ | Now contributing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quit my job — interest | Google Trends | 50% | positive | zscore_24m | ▼ 15.00 | ▼ 22.00 | +0.073 | |
| Remote jobs — interest | Google Trends | 30% | positive | zscore_24m | ▼ 5.00 | ▼ 22.00 | -0.284 | |
| Severance — interest | Google Trends | 20% | positive | zscore_24m | ▼ 1.00 | ▼ 9.00 | -0.292 |
Current Reading
Numen for the public read:
Palanor reads quit pressure at 37.7 of 100 — modestly below its 24-month neutral. The composite is softening, with the weight of components leaning the other way.
Historical
24-month history of this index. The composite is recomputed daily; values are stored with timestamps.
Raw readings · 4 rows ▾
| # | Computed at | Value | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 5/27/2026, 8:45:51 AM | 37.6614 | +17.8539 |
| 3 | 5/26/2026, 8:45:28 AM | 19.8074 | +2.4793 |
| 2 | 5/26/2026, 6:48:33 AM | 17.3281 | 0.0000 |
| 1 | 5/26/2026, 6:48:28 AM | 17.3281 | — |
References
- FRED — Federal Reserve Economic Data, St. Louis Fed.
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/ - Atlanta Fed — Wage Growth Tracker and Sticky-Price CPI.
https://www.atlantafed.org/research - Cleveland Fed — Model-based inflation expectations.
https://www.clevelandfed.org/our-research/indicators-and-data - OECD — Composite Consumer Confidence Indicator.
https://data.oecd.org/leadind/consumer-confidence-index-cci.htm - CNN Business — Fear & Greed Index.
https://www.cnn.com/markets/fear-and-greed - Google Trends — interest over time.
https://trends.google.com/
Stewards see Palanor Indices tuned to their mandate.
Community discussion
0 comments
Create a free account or sign in to comment, upvote, and earn Influencer Credits.
No comments yet. Start the conversation.