The Palanor Indices
The instruments Palanor builds to read what the singular series cannot.
Anyone can show you CPI. Anyone can show you the VIX. Palanor builds composites — transparently disclosed, weight-by-weight, with public-source components.
The Palanor Indices
Anyone can show you CPI. Anyone can show you the VIX. Palanor builds composites — transparently disclosed, weight-by-weight, with public-source components.
The relative position of the two largest economies — measured across output, currency, military, and trade partner dominance.
No single number tells the US–China story. GDP nominal favors the US; PPP-adjusted, China has been larger since 2017. Trade-partner dominance has already flipped — China is the top trading partner for roughly 120 countries; the US for roughly 55. Defense spending remains lopsided toward the US, but capital flows and currency posture tell a more nuanced story. This index reads seven dimensions of the relationship. A reading of 0.0 indicates US dominance; 1.0 indicates parity or passed. The components blend slow-moving structural data (annual GDP) with faster signals (currency, capital flows). Note: the trade-partner-dominance component requires World Bank annual data — refreshed yearly. The other components update monthly or daily. The index is most useful as a regime indicator (which decade are we in?) rather than a short-term trade signal.
Every component, every weight. The 30-day spark shows how the underlying series has moved; the transform column shows how it converts to a comparable scale before weighting. Direction indicates whether rising values raise or lower the index.
| Component | Source | Weight | Direction | Transform | 30d | 24h | 30d Δ | Now contributing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| World Bank: US Nominal GDP | Worldbank | 17% | negative | zscore_24m | — | — | — | awaiting data |
| World Bank: China Nominal GDP | Worldbank | 17% | positive | zscore_24m | — | — | — | awaiting data |
Numen for the public read:
Palanor reads us v china at 35.3 of 100 — modestly below its 24-month neutral. The composite is softening, with the weight of components leaning the other way. This reading is computed across 2 of 7 components; the remainder are awaiting data.
24-month history of this index. The composite is recomputed daily; values are stored with timestamps.
| # | Computed at | Value | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 69 | 7/11/2026, 8:45:37 AM | 35.3471 | 0.0000 |
| 68 | 7/10/2026, 8:45:15 AM | 35.3471 | 0.0000 |
| 67 | 7/9/2026, 8:45:55 AM | 35.3471 | 0.0000 |
| 66 | 7/8/2026, 8:45:55 AM | 35.3471 | 0.0000 |
| 65 | 7/7/2026, 8:45:55 AM | 35.3471 | +4.3420 |
| 64 | 7/6/2026, 8:45:56 AM | 31.0051 | 0.0000 |
| 63 | 7/5/2026, 8:45:55 AM | 31.0051 | 0.0000 |
| 62 | 7/4/2026, 8:45:56 AM | 31.0051 | 0.0000 |
| 61 | 7/3/2026, 8:45:56 AM | 31.0051 | 0.0000 |
| 60 | 7/2/2026, 8:45:55 AM | 31.0051 | 0.0000 |
| 59 | 7/1/2026, 8:45:37 AM | 31.0051 | +0.3801 |
| 58 | 6/30/2026, 8:45:38 AM | 30.6250 | -14.6607 |
| 57 | 6/29/2026, 8:45:52 AM | 45.2857 | 0.0000 |
| 56 | 6/28/2026, 8:45:53 AM | 45.2857 | 0.0000 |
| 55 | 6/27/2026, 8:45:52 AM | 45.2857 | 0.0000 |
| 54 | 6/26/2026, 8:45:52 AM | 45.2857 | 0.0000 |
| 53 | 6/25/2026, 8:45:30 AM | 45.2857 | 0.0000 |
| 52 | 6/24/2026, 8:45:31 AM | 45.2857 | 0.0000 |
| 51 | 6/23/2026, 8:45:06 AM | 45.2857 | -6.3697 |
| 50 | 6/22/2026, 8:45:07 AM | 51.6554 | 0.0000 |
| 49 | 6/21/2026, 8:45:09 AM | 51.6554 | 0.0000 |
| 48 | 6/20/2026, 8:45:14 AM | 51.6554 | 0.0000 |
| 47 | 6/19/2026, 8:45:14 AM | 51.6554 | 0.0000 |
| 46 | 6/18/2026, 8:45:34 AM | 51.6554 | 0.0000 |
| 45 | 6/17/2026, 8:45:25 AM | 51.6554 | 0.0000 |
| 44 | 6/16/2026, 8:45:11 AM | 51.6554 | -1.2141 |
| 43 | 6/15/2026, 8:45:11 AM | 52.8695 | 0.0000 |
| 42 | 6/14/2026, 8:45:43 AM | 52.8695 | 0.0000 |
| 41 | 6/13/2026, 8:45:10 AM | 52.8695 | 0.0000 |
| 40 | 6/12/2026, 8:45:19 AM | 52.8695 | 0.0000 |
| 39 | 6/11/2026, 8:45:24 AM | 52.8695 | 0.0000 |
| 38 | 6/10/2026, 8:45:41 AM | 52.8695 | 0.0000 |
| 37 | 6/9/2026, 8:45:53 AM | 52.8695 | -7.2301 |
| 36 | 6/8/2026, 10:53:06 PM | 60.0996 | 0.0000 |
| 35 | 6/8/2026, 8:45:36 AM | 60.0996 | 0.0000 |
| 34 | 6/7/2026, 8:45:32 AM | 60.0996 | 0.0000 |
| 33 | 6/6/2026, 8:45:31 AM | 60.0996 | 0.0000 |
| 32 | 6/5/2026, 8:45:54 AM | 60.0996 | 0.0000 |
| 31 | 6/4/2026, 7:12:13 PM | 60.0996 | 0.0000 |
| 30 | 6/4/2026, 4:21:23 PM | 60.0996 | 0.0000 |
| 29 | 6/4/2026, 4:20:33 PM | 60.0996 | 0.0000 |
| 28 | 6/4/2026, 4:20:04 PM | 60.0996 | 0.0000 |
| 27 | 6/4/2026, 8:45:41 AM | 60.0996 | 0.0000 |
| 26 | 6/3/2026, 8:45:15 AM | 60.0996 | 0.0000 |
| 25 | 6/2/2026, 8:45:33 AM | 60.0996 | +13.4817 |
| 24 | 6/2/2026, 3:48:34 AM | 46.6179 | 0.0000 |
| 23 | 6/2/2026, 3:13:27 AM | 46.6179 | 0.0000 |
| 22 | 6/2/2026, 3:02:30 AM | 46.6179 | 0.0000 |
| 21 | 6/2/2026, 3:00:51 AM | 46.6179 | 0.0000 |
| 20 | 6/1/2026, 8:45:47 AM | 46.6179 | 0.0000 |
| 19 | 5/31/2026, 8:45:35 AM | 46.6179 | +0.3140 |
| 18 | 5/30/2026, 8:45:28 AM | 46.3038 | 0.0000 |
| 17 | 5/30/2026, 5:04:21 AM | 46.3038 | 0.0000 |
| 16 | 5/30/2026, 4:55:36 AM | 46.3038 | 0.0000 |
| 15 | 5/30/2026, 4:12:36 AM | 46.3038 | 0.0000 |
| 14 | 5/30/2026, 4:12:20 AM | 46.3038 | 0.0000 |
| 13 | 5/29/2026, 8:45:29 AM | 46.3038 | 0.0000 |
| 12 | 5/29/2026, 4:58:26 AM | 46.3038 | 0.0000 |
| 11 | 5/28/2026, 8:45:14 AM | 46.3038 | 0.0000 |
| 10 | 5/27/2026, 8:45:51 AM | 46.3038 | +9.1088 |
| 9 | 5/26/2026, 8:45:27 AM | 37.1951 | 0.0000 |
| 8 | 5/26/2026, 6:48:32 AM | 37.1951 | 0.0000 |
| 7 | 5/26/2026, 6:48:28 AM | 37.1951 | 0.0000 |
| 6 | 5/26/2026, 3:55:00 AM | 37.1951 | 0.0000 |
| 5 | 5/26/2026, 3:54:13 AM | 37.1951 | 0.0000 |
| 4 | 5/26/2026, 3:53:43 AM | 37.1951 | +0.0049 |
| 3 | 5/25/2026, 8:45:27 AM | 37.1902 | 0.0000 |
| 2 | 5/24/2026, 8:45:46 AM | 37.1902 | 0.0000 |
| 1 | 5/23/2026, 8:45:28 AM | 37.1902 | — |
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/https://www.atlantafed.org/researchhttps://www.clevelandfed.org/our-research/indicators-and-datahttps://data.oecd.org/leadind/consumer-confidence-index-cci.htmhttps://www.cnn.com/markets/fear-and-greedhttps://trends.google.com/Stewards see Palanor Indices tuned to their mandate.
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| World Bank: US GDP (PPP) | Worldbank | 11% | negative | zscore_24m | — | — | — | awaiting data |
| World Bank: China GDP (PPP) | Worldbank | 11% | positive | zscore_24m | — | — | — | awaiting data |
| USD / CNY | FRED | 17% | negative | zscore_24m | ▼ 0.006 | ▲ 0.013 | +0.271 |
| Defense & Space Industrial Production | FRED | 11% | negative | zscore_24m | — | — | — | -0.874 |
| SIPRI Global Military Expenditure | Manual Upload | 17% | positive | pct_change_12m | — | — | — | awaiting data |
Awaiting data means the most recent compute did not have a fresh value for that component. The composite re-normalizes around what is present, so the index reading remains meaningful. The component returns the moment its source publishes.