The Palanor Schema Index

Quarterly likelihood across the major macro-economic and financial schemas.

Each bar shows Palanor's confidence that a given schema was in play at the end of each quarter, scored against publicly accessible signals. Quarters before launch are retrospective — scored after the fact against indicators as they stood at quarter-end. Quarters after launch are live — written in real time. Only live readings are graded for accuracy. Methodology: track record and scoring.